A couple of observations: The drop off rules aren't exactly steep. Anybody with less than 10 percent of the ballots in the first round will be dropped -- which could easily leave EVERYBODY in the race for the second ballot. The drop-off only goes up by 5 percent per round, which may mean the runners up may linger on a little longer.
Here's the relevant rule:
Candidates receiving less than 10% will be dropped after the first ballot. On subsequent ballots, the drop-off percentage will be raised by 5% each ballot. In addition, after the 3rd ballot, the lowest remaining candidate will be dropped, regardless of the candidate’s percentage.And there are a couple of fail safes in the rules. The Senate District DFL will NOT endorse before the primary if the convention doesn't pick a candidate -- it's do or die on Sunday. Also, no "no endorsement" motion can be introduced before the 7th ballot. That's some pressure to endorse.
However, in no case will this drop-off rule be used to reduce the number of candidates remaining on the next ballot to less than two.
Will it go that many rounds? With three candidates reporting five-figure war chests in 2013 alone, as well as the Take Action and womenwinning endorsements for Greta Bergstrom, the top four could have the resources for a long, drawn out battle later this month - possibly setting up a scenario like last year's mayoral race in Minneapolis where delegates had to decamp from the Convention Center before endorsing either Mark Andrew or Betsy Hodges. And this time, since there's NO ranked-choice voting, it would set up a battle royale for the Aug. 12 primary.
The Senate District 64 convention start has been moved up to 11 a.m. on March 23rd at Central High School to give the party more runway. But the convention has to wrap up its business by 9 and be out of the building by 10, according to district chair Elizabeth Wefel.
"We're going to be taking steps, both in the rules and the preparations to try to get through the business as soon as possible," says Wefel, although the 64B endorsement is the last scheduled business before the adjournment.
She noted the agenda floor fight in the 64A endorsement battle when Matt Entenza retired and Erin Murphy won the DFL nod in 2006, and said this time, they're going to keep the agenda moving -- including electing state delegates from the "A" side first, so they don't have to stick around for the "B" side politicking, if they don't want to.
Here's the rules of the game:
SD 64 DFL Convention Rules Final
I am a delegate from 64B. I expect that we will endose a candidate before the day is over. You raise the question in your lead in for me.
ReplyDeleteAre all six candidates willling to say they will abide by the endosrement of 64B, or would any of them go on to the primary and override the will of the convention? That would be a consideration in who I vote for at the convention next week.